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How to tell when a slot machine will hit?


Hazel Wyatt

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You cannot tell when a modern slot machine will hit because the outcome of each spin is random. No matter how many times a machine has spun, and no matter what the outcomes of those spins were, the probability of the next result remains the same.

But people often believe otherwise. One famous example of why is the gambler’s fallacy.

The gambler's fallacy is an erroneous way of thinking about the probability of independent events. When people commit the gambler’s fallacy, they think that the likelihood of a random event is impacted by the occurrence of previous events, or series of previous events.

For example, believing that the result of previous spins on a slot will impact the result of present or future spins is committing the gambler’s fallacy. The result is not affected by what’s happened before. So if you win or lose one round, it has no impact on whether you’ll win or lose the next round.

The toss of a coin best illustrates this. The probability of a toss landing on either side of the coin is 1/2. So if you toss a coin and it lands on heads, what’s the probability of the next toss landing on heads? Again it’s 1/2. So every single toss of the coin has the same chance of landing on heads, no matter the result of any previous toss.

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Time Slot Machines

Another way to recognize when the machine will hit the prize is by timing it. If you play at land-based casinos, just sit next to the machine and watch the reels spinning. Make sure to play your machine while you are timing others close to yours. As soon as you observe that a certain machine gets in popularity, you should definitely pick that one.

If the machine hasn’t yet paid a significant amount, it is a reason to sit down and place a bet. Players are also recommended to check the recent winners on a certain machine. If the slot has just paid a big amount, you should definitely wait some time before placing a bet.

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Pay Attention to the Cycles of Machines

Every slot machine has a cycle and you should know it before playing the game. No slot machine will stay tight all the time. Despite looking tight, even the same machine will deliver a payout at a certain moment. It is especially true for machines which haven’t paid anything for a long period of time.

If you see a machine delivering a solid payout, don’t leave and think that it is the maximum potential. Continue with the gameplay and you will see whether the machine has certain patterns which repeat.

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